The government wishes to reduce the CO2 emission from the Danish vehicle fleet by implementing road pricing based in the number of driven kilometres for both heavy traffic and cars. The rationale behind the road pricing was that fewer kilometres would be driven after the introduction which would then have a measurable positive effect on the environment.Â
An analysis, undertaken by DTU for the Transport Ministry, undermines this theory and points out that the emission of CO2 might even rise.Â
This is due to the governments own tax-stop and intention about using the revenue from the road pricing to lower the registration tax, thus the effect for car owners would be neutral. According to a senior researcherÂ at DTU, a lower registration tax will make the Danish people buy bigger and more polluting cars and also more cars than so far. The number of cars per household is estimated to rise with approximately 19%, which will cause more traffic and thereby more CO2 emission. At best the effect will be neutral.
The traffic spokesman for the Danish party, Venstre, Kristian Pihl Lorentzen, does not believe that the vehicle fleet will increase significantly just because the car prises decrease, butÂ believes that the Danish have the cars they need and states that “most of them wouldn’t dream of buy more cars”.